How To Estimate Retailer ACV Using Nielsen or IRI Data

Retailer ACVSometimes you want to know total ACV for a retailer (in other words, not just how much they’re selling in your category, but how much they’re selling in the entire store). You need this number to assess trading area trends or to find out whether the retailer is getting their fair share of sales for your category. But what if you don’t have this measure? Not all databases include it and you won’t automatically get it in an ad hoc Excel report.  Fortunately, you can estimate it yourself.

To do so, you need data for a product level that is always available with 100% distribution. Usually this criteria will apply to your category total – there is probably at least one item that sells in that category every day of every week.  But if you don’t have a product level that is always available 100% of the time (or something very close to it) stop now because your calculation will understate ACV.

Assuming you have that product line with consistent distribution of 100%, grab:

  1. Dollars
  2. Dollars per $MM ACV (or “Dollars per Million”)

“Dollars per Million” holds the key to calculating ACV because ACV is the behind-the-scenes denominator. Therefore:

Retailer ACV = (Dollars / Dollars per million) * 1,000,000

Typically, you’d use a time period of 52 weeks because most of the time you’re using the ACV to quantify annual opportunities. But the calculation can work regardless of the time period selected.

If you purchased an Excel report with a shorter time period (say 13 weeks), use the calculation above but multiply ACV by four to get to an annual estimate.

What if you use the 52-week values from your database to do the calculation but your ACV estimate looks way too low? In some databases, 52-week values are aggregated from 1- week values or 4-week values. If this is true for you, you’ll need to multiple your results by either 52 or 13 to get an annualized number.

Here’s a real example using a recent 4-week period for a nearly $2 billion dollar retailer.

Retailer ACV Estimate

 

Have questions about this calculation or any other issues you face with your Nielsen or IRI database? Contact us for a free 30-minute consultation.

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